Blois Paleoecology Lab

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Publications

Author names in bold are Blois Paleoecology Lab members. ✝ indicates student co-author. * indicates co-first authors

Alternatively, you can view Jessica’s Google Scholar profile. Email jblois [at] ucmerced [dot] edu for reprints of any of the articles below.

jump to: in review  | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | Other pubs

In review

Fitzpatrick, M.C.*, Blois, J.L.*, Williams, J.W., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Maguire, K.C., Lorenz, D. Using the past to explore the limits on projections of biodiversity under future climate. (in review)

Knight, C.✝, Blois, J.L., Blonder, B., Macias-Fauria, M., Ordonez, A., Svenning, J-C. Quantifying environmental mismatch and filtering in North American pollen assemblages since the Last Glacial Maximum. (in review)

Nieto-Lugilde, D., Maguire, K.C.Blois, J.L.,Williams, J.W. and M.C. Fitzpatrick. (in revision). Community-level modeling: Theory, recent advances, and applications

2017

Barnosky, A.D., Hadly, E.A., Gonzalez, P., Head, J., Polly, P.D., Lawing, A.M., Eronen, J.T., Ackerly, D.D., Alex, K., Biber, E., Blois, J., Brashares, J., Ceballos, G., Davis, E., Dietl, G.P., Dirzo, H., Doremus, H., Fortelius, M., Greene, H., Hellmann, J., Hickler, T., Jackson, S.T., Kemp, M., Koch, P.L., Kremen, C., Lindsey, E.L., Looy, C., Marshall, C.R., Mendenhall, C., Mulch, A., Mychajliw, A.M., Nowak, C., Ramakrishnan, U., Schnitzler, J., Das Shrestha, K., Solari, K., Stegner, L., Stegner, M.A., Stenseth, N.C., Wake, M.H., and Z. Zhang (2017). Merging Paleobiology With Conservation Biology to Guide the Future of Terrestrial Ecosystems. Science 355:eaah4787 

Blonder, B., Moulton, D., Blois, J., Enquist, B., Graae, B., Macias-Fauria, M., McGill, B., Nogué, S., Ordonez, A., Sandel, B., and J.-C. Svenning (2017). Predictability in community dynamics. Ecology Letters 20: 293-306

Lawing, A.M.*, Eronen, J.T.*, Blois, J.L.*, Graham, C., and P.D. Polly (2017). Community functional trait composition and the effects of non-ecological processes. Ecography  40(5): 651-663

  • The base data are publicly available via Dryad.

2016

Brown, S.K. and J.L. Blois (2016). The complete mitochondrial genome of the dusky-footed woodrat (Neotoma fuscipes) (Rodentia, Cricetidae). Mitochondrial DNA Part B: Resources 1:1, 728-729

Dawson, M.N, Axmacher, J.C, Beierkuhnlein, C., Blois, J.L., Bradley, B.A., Cord, A.F., Dengler, J., He, K.S., Heaney, L.S., Jansson, R., Mahecha, M.D., Myers, C., Nogués-Bravo, D., Papadoupoulou, A., Reu, B., Rodríguez-Sánchez, F., Steinbauer, M.J., and A. Stigall (2016). A second horizon scan of biogeography: Golden Ages, Midas touches, and the Red Queen. Frontiers of Biogeography 8.4: e29770

Lorenz, D.J., Nieto-Lugilde, D., Blois, J.L., Fitzpatrick, M.C., and J.W. Williams (2016). Downscaled and debiased climate simulations for North America from 21,000 years ago to 2100AD. Scientific Data 3: 160048 

  • The base data are publicly available via Dryad.

Maguire, K.C.*, Nieto-Lugilde, D.*, Blois, J.L., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Williams, J.W., Ferrier, S. and D.J. Lorenz (2016). Controlled comparison of species- and community-level models across novel climates and communities. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283(1826): 20152817 

  • The base data are publicly available via Dryad.

Lyons, S.K., Amatangelo, K.L., Behrensmeyer, A.K., Bercovici, A., Blois, J.L., Davis, M., DiMichele, W.A., Du, A., Eronen, J.T., Faith, J.T., Graves, G.R., Jud, N., Labandeira, C., Looy, C.V., McGill, B., Miller, J.H., Patterson, D., Pineda-Munoz, S., Potts, R., Riddle, B., Terry, R., Tóth, A., Ulrich, W., Villaseñor, A., Wing, S., Anderson, H., Anderson, J., Waller, D. and N. J. Gotelli (2016). Holocene shifts in the assembly of terrestrial plant and animal communities implicate increasing human impacts. Nature 529: 80-83 

Listen to Jessica’s interview about this study on Tom Willey’s Down on the Farm radio show here.  It’s the Feb 5th, 2016 episode.

Read Jessica’s take on this paper here.

Correspondence about the paper:

Bertelsmeier, C. & Ollier, S. (2016). Questioning Holocene community shifts. Nature 537: E4–E5

Lyons, S.K., Miller, J.H., Tóth, A., Amatangelo, K.L., Behrensmeyer, A.K., Bercovici, A., Blois, J.L., Davis, M., DiMichele, W.A., Du, A., Eronen, J.T., Faith, J.T., Graves, G.R., Jud, N., Labandeira, C., Looy, C.V., McGill, B., Patterson, D., Pineda-Munoz, S., Potts, R., Riddle, B., Terry, R., Ulrich, W., Villaseñor, A., Wing, S., Anderson, H., Anderson, J., and N. J. Gotelli (2016). Lyons et al. reply. Nature 537: E5–E6 

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2015
Maguire, K.C., Nieto Lugilde, D., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Williams, J.W., and J.L. Blois (2015). Modeling species and community responses to past, present, and future episodes of climatic and ecological change. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 46: 343-368 

Nieto Lugilde, D., Maguire, K.C., Blois, J.L., Williams, J.W., Fitzpatrick, M.C. (2015). Close agreement between pollen-based and forest inventory-based models of vegetation turnover. Global Ecology and Biogeography 24(8): 905-916 

Gill, J.L., Blois, J.L., Benito, B., Dobrowski, S., Hunter Jr., M.L., and J.L. McGuire (2015). Conserving the stage for 10,000 years: a paleoecological perspective on coarse-filter strategies. Conservation Biology 29: 640–648 

Jackson, S.T. and J.L. Blois (2015). Community ecology in a changing environment: perspectives from the Quaternary. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112: 4915–4921 

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2014

Blois, J.L., Gotelli, N., Behrensmeyer, A.K., Faith, J.T., Lyons, S.K., Williams, J.W., Amatangelo, K.L., Bercovici, A., Du, A., Eronen, J.T., Graves, G.R., Jud, N., Labandeira, C., Looy, C.V., McGill, B., Patterson, D., Potts, R., Riddle, B., Terry, R.C., Tóth, A., Villaseñor, A., and S. Wing. (2014). A framework for evaluating the influence of climate, dispersal limitation, and biotic interactions using fossil pollen species associations across the late Quaternary. Ecography 37: 1095-1108 

  • The base data are publicly available via Figshare.

Gavin, D.G., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Gugger, P.F., Heath, K.D., Rodríguez-Sánchez, F., Dobrowski, Hampe, A., Hu, F.S., S., Ashcroft, M.B., Bartlein, P.J., Blois, J.L., Carstens, B.C., Davis, E., de Lafontaine, G., Edwards, M.E., Fernandez, M., Henne, P.D., Herring, E.M., Holden, Z.A., Kong, W., Liu, J., Magri, D., Matzke, N.J., McGlone, M.S., Saltré, F., Stigall, A.L., Tsai, Y.E., Williams, J.W. (2014). Climate refugia: joint inference from fossil records, species distribution models and phylogeography. New Phytologist 204:37-54 

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2013

Blois, J.L., Zarnetske, P.L., Fitzpatrick, M.C., and S. Finnegan (2013). Climate change and the past, present, and future of biotic interactions. Science 341: 499-504 Abstract | Full Text | Reprint

Williams, J.W., Blois, J.L., Gill, J.L., Gonzalez, L.M., Grimm, E.C., Jackson, S.T., Ordonez, A., Shuman, B., and S.D. Veloz (2013). Model systems for a no-analog future:  Species associations and climates during the last deglaciation. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1297: 29-43  

Blois, J.L., Williams, J.W., Fitzpatrick, M.C., Jackson, S.T., and S. Ferrier (2013). Space can substitute for time in predicting climate-change effects on biodiversity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110:9374-9379 

Blois, JL, Williams, JW, Fitzpatrick, MC, Ferrier, S, Veloz, S, He, F, Liu, Z, Manion, G, and B Otto-Bliesner (2013). Modeling the climatic drivers of spatial patterns in vegetation composition since the Last Glacial Maximum. Ecography 36:460-473. 

  • The downscaled paleoclimate simulations are publicly available here.
  • Featured article on the Ecography facebook page!

Uhen, MD, Barnosky, AD, Bills, B, Blois, JL, Carrasco, MA, Carrano, MT, Erickson, GM, Eronen, J, Fortelius, M, Graham, RW, Grimm, EC, O’Leary, M, Mast, A, Piel, W, Polly, PD, and LK Säilä (2013). From cards catalogs to computers: Databases in vertebrate paleontology. J. Vertebrate Paleontology 33: 13-28. 

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2012

Goring, SJ, Williams, JW, Blois, JL, Jackson, ST, Paciorek, CJ, Booth, RK, Marlon, JR, Blaauw, M and JA Christen (2012). Deposition times in the northeastern United States during the Holocene: establishing valid priors for Bayesian age models. Quaternary Science Reviews 48: 54-60 

Veloz, S, Williams, JW, Blois, JL, He, F, Otto-Bliesner, B, and Z Liu (2012). No-analog climates and shifting realized niches during the late Quaternary: implications for 21st-century predictions by species distribution models. Global Change Biology 18: 1698-1713 

Clark, PU, Shakun, JD, Baker, PA, Bartlein, PJ, Brewer, S, Brook, EJ, Carlson, AE, Cheng, H, Kaufman, DS, Liu, Z, Marchitto, TM, Mix, AC, Morrill, C, Otto-Bliesner, B, Pahnke, K, Russell, JM, Whitlock, C, Adkins, JF, Blois, JL, Clark, J, Colman, SC, Curry, WB, Flower, BP, He, F, Johnson, TC, Lynch-Stieglitz, J, Markgraf, V, McManus, JF, Mitrovica, JX, Moreno, PI, and JW Williams (2012). Global climate evolution during the last deglaciation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: E1134-42 

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2011

Blois, JL, Williams, JW, Grimm, EC, Jackson, ST, & RW Graham (2011). A methodological framework for assessing and reducing temporal uncertainty in paleovegetation mapping from late-Quaternary pollen records. Quaternary Science Reviews 30: 1926-1939 

Williams, JW, Blois, JL, & BN Shuman (2011). Extrinsic and intrinsic forcing of abrupt ecological change: case studies from the late Quaternary. Journal of Ecology 99: 664-677 

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2010

Blois, JL, McGuire, JL, & EA Hadly (2010). Small mammal diversity loss in response to late-Pleistocene climatic change. Nature 465: 771-774 

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2009

Blois, JL & EA Hadly (2009). Mammalian response to Cenozoic climatic change. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 37: 181-208 

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2008

Blois, JL, Feranec, RS & EA Hadly (2008). Environmental influences on spatial and temporal patterns of body size variation in California ground squirrels (Spermophilus beecheyi). Journal of Biogeography 35:602-613 

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2007

Feranec, RS, Hadly, EA, Blois, JL, Barnosky, AD & A Paytan (2007). Radiocarbon dates from the Pleistocene fossil deposits of Samwel Cave, Shasta County, California, USA. Radiocarbon (49): 117-121 

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2006

Blois, JL & BS Arbogast (2006).  Conservation genetics of the Sonoma tree vole (Arborimus pomo) based on mitochondrial and AFLP markers.  Journal of Mammalogy 87(5): 950-960 

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OTHER PUBLICATIONS

Brown, S.K. and J.L. Blois (2016). Ecological insights from ancient DNA. In: eLS. pp. 1-7. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 

Blois, J.L. and J.E. Williams (2016). Quaternary biogeography and climate change. In: Kliman, R.M. (ed.), The Encyclopedia of Evolutionary Biology. vol. 3, pp. 395-405. Oxford: Academic Press 

DeNeve Weeks, D., Nye, J., and J.L. Blois (2015). Monotypic species and extinction risk: looking at Lagomorphs. Frontiers of Biogeography 7.2: 35-37

Blois, J.L. and E.A. Hadly (2015). Fossils Predict Biological Responses to Future Climate Change. In T. L. Root , K. R. Hall, M. Herzog, and C. A. Howell, editors. Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: Linking Science and Management in Conservation. University of California Press

Blois, JL (2013). Narrowing the estimates of species migration rates. Frontiers of Biogeography 5(3): 171-172.  ➤

Blois, JL (2012). Stemming “ignorance creep” in paleoecology and biogeography. Frontiers of Biogeography 4(3): 93-94.

Blois, JL (2012). Recent advances in using species distributional models to understand past distributions. Frontiers of Biogeography 3(4): 123-124.

Gill, JL, Blois, JL, Goring, S, Marlon, JR, Bartlein, PJ, Nicoll, K, Scott, AC, and C Whitlock (2012). Letter to the Editor: Paleoecological changes at Lake Cuitzeo were not consistent with an extraterrestrial impact. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109(34): E2243.

Blois, JL (2012). Once and Future Giants. What Ice Age Extinctions Tell Us About the Fate of Earth’s Largest Animals by Sharon Levy. Invited book review, Quarterly Review of Biology 87(1): 53-54.

Blois, JL, Goring, S, & A Smith (2011). Integrating paleoecological databases. Eos 92(6): 4

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